Economics · Stellenbosch University
Dieter von Fintel
Professor of Economics, and Vice Dean for Research, Postgraduate Affairs and Internationalisation
I use microeconometric methods on survey, administrative and historical data to study labour markets, inequality and child health and nutrition across Southern Africa.
About
Labour, inequality and child health, from the Cape Colony to the present
I am a Professor in the Department of Economics at Stellenbosch University, where I have taught since 2007, and currently serve as Vice Dean for Research, Postgraduate Affairs and Internationalisation in the Faculty of Economic and Management Sciences. My research applies quasi-experimental and non-linear econometric methods to South African and Southern African labour markets, wealth and income inequality, and the drivers of child stunting and early childhood development.
I completed my PhD at Stellenbosch in 2014, with a spell as a visiting student at the Centre for the Study of African Economies, University of Oxford, on a Commonwealth Scholarship. I am a founding member of the Laboratory for the Economics of Africa's Past (LEAP) and a long-standing researcher with Research on Socioeconomic Policy (ReSEP), both at Stellenbosch. I hold a C2 rating from South Africa's National Research Foundation.
Alongside my own research, I supervise doctoral and Masters students, convene several econometrics and labour economics modules, and engage with policymakers and the media on minimum wages, inequality and food security.
- 19Years lecturing at Stellenbosch, since 2007
- 39Peer-reviewed journal articles
- 19Doctoral students supervised, graduated and current
- C2NRF rating as an established researcher
Research
Current and recent projects
A selection of the collaborations and grants that anchor my current work — from a centuries-spanning historical household panel to present-day nutrition and labour-market policy.
The Cape of Good Hope Panel
Building the largest longitudinal household dataset in history to study social change at the Cape, with Lund, Utrecht, MIT, Colorado, UC Davis and Stellenbosch colleagues. Funded by Riksbankens Jubileumsfond, Sweden.
Wealth inequality and financial inclusion
Advancing wealth-inequality research using tax administrative data, with the Munich International Stone Centre for Inequality Research, building on earlier work on South African tax and survey records.
Child stunting and food systems
"Break free, grow tall, reach far" — a trans-disciplinary focus on stunting reduction through resilient and nourishing food systems, alongside long-run collaborative work on child health, parental death and early childhood development.
Malawi's Farm Input Subsidy Programme
The unintended consequences of farm input subsidies for women and children in Malawi, with IDRC, DFID, the Hewlett Foundation and PEP, and collaborators in France, the UK and Malawi.
Agricultural minimum wages
Using South African administrative tax records to trace how sectoral minimum wages reshape farm structure, worker flows and producer responses.
Inequality at the Cape Colony
Settler wealth, slave prices, income mobility and the Huguenot wine-making elite — a long-run quantitative history of inequality in southern Africa built from tax and probate records.
Publications
Selected journal articles
39 peer-reviewed articles in total. The list below covers 2020 onward, in full — see the CV or Google Scholar for the complete record back to 2007.
2026
- 01
From deliberate sample to representative sample: pilot study for the BER inflation expectations survey
Journal of Business Cycle Research, 22(1), 157–186
- 02
Food production as insurance against maize price volatility: nutritional implications for children in Tanzania
Global Food Security, 48, 100909
- 03
The decline of child stunting in 122 countries: a systematic review of child growth studies since the 19th century
BMJ Global Health, 11(2), e018607
2025
- 04
Inequality in public health spending and access to healthcare services in Zimbabwe: a cross-sectional study
Health Science Reports, 8(12)
- 05
Implementation matters: programme impact pathway analysis of four sectoral nutrition-sensitive interventions in Anambra and Kebbi states, Nigeria
Global Health Action, 18(1), 2519677
- 06
Parental death, parental absence and stunting
Development Southern Africa, 42(6), 791–810
- 07
Malaria prophylaxis stock-outs and birth- and maternal outcomes in Zimbabwe
BMC Public Health, 25(1)
- 08
Supporting early childhood development through multi-dimensional service delivery in South Africa
Child Indicators Research, 18(3), 1101–1159
- 09
Income mobility before industrialization: evidence from South Africa's Cape Colony
Social Science History, 49(1), 22–51
2024
- 10
Waar is beter dorp in Zuid Afrika dan Stellenbos?: what the Stellenbosch-Drakenstein tax censuses reveal
South African Historical Journal, 76(4), 420–446
- 11
A qualitative exploratory study of the political commitment for nutrition programming: Anambra and Kebbi states, Nigeria
International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health, 21(2), 175
- 12
Childhood circumstances, social mobility and the obesity transition: evidence from South Africa
Economics & Human Biology, 52, 101336
2023
- 13
The impact of agricultural minimum wages on worker flows in South Africa
South African Journal of Economics, 91(4), 446–465
- 14
Can women's reports in client exit interviews be used to measure and track progress of antenatal care services quality? Evidence from a facility assessment census in Malawi
PLOS ONE, 18(7), e0274650
2022
- 15
Investigating the effects of drought and lockdowns on smallholder and commercial agricultural production in KwaZulu-Natal using remotely sensed data
Heliyon, 8(11), e11637
- 16
Decomposing inequality of opportunity in child health in Tanzania: the role of access to water and sanitation
Health Economics, 31(11), 2465–2480
- 17
Child nutrition and farm input subsidies: the complementary role of early healthcare and nutrition programs in Malawi
Food Policy, 113, 102340
- 18
Stunting, double orphanhood and unequal access to public services in democratic South Africa
Economics & Human Biology, 44, 101076
2020
- 19
Validation of a roadmap for mainstreaming nutrition-sensitive interventions at state level in Nigeria
Nutrition Journal, 19(1), 96
- 20
Wealth inequality and financial inclusion: evidence from South African tax and survey records
Economic Modelling, 91, 568–578
- 21
Sectoral minimum wages in South Africa: disemployment by firm size and trade exposure
Development Southern Africa, 37(3), 462–482
Selected earlier work (2007–2019): "The great divergence in South Africa: population and wealth dynamics over two centuries" (Journal of Comparative Economics, 2019, with J. Fourie) — winner of the 2021 Montias Prize. "Intergenerational transfer of health inequalities" (BMJ Global Health, 2019, with L. Richter). "Slave prices and productivity at the Cape of Good Hope, 1700–1725" (Cliometrica, 2015). "Settler skills and colonial development: the Huguenot winemakers in eighteenth-century Dutch South Africa" (The Economic History Review, 2014). Full details, and 18 further articles, are in the CV.
Book chapters
- The effectiveness of affirmative action policies in South Africa. Burger, R., Jafta, R., & von Fintel, D. (2022). In Handbook on Economics of Discrimination and Affirmative Action, pp. 1–22.
- Affirmative action policies and the evolution of post-apartheid South Africa's racial wage gap. Burger, R., Jafta, R., & von Fintel, D. (2016).
- The fruit of the vine? An augmented endowments-inequality hypothesis and the rise of an elite in the Cape Colony. Fourie, J., & von Fintel, D. (2012). In The Role of Elites in Economic Development, pp. 87–119.
- Child poverty in South Africa and the global financial and economic crisis. Mabugu, R., van der Berg, S., Shepherd, D., et al., incl. von Fintel, D. (2012). In Children in Crisis, pp. 93–120.
Teaching
Courses and supervision
I convene the department's core econometrics sequence and specialise in quasi-experimental and non-linear methods at Honours and Masters level.
Advanced Cross Section Econometrics
Quasi-experimental and non-linear models, and survey design, for 5–12 Masters specialisation students a year.
Econometrics 771
An Honours-level introduction to cross-section econometrics, taught to 40–60 students a year.
Labour Economics 771 & 871
South African labour-market policy topics, for 15–25 students, module convenor in 2021.
Advanced Development 871
A Masters-level development economics specialisation for small cohorts of 5–10 students.
Mathematical Methods 771
Calculus and optimisation for Honours economics students, 40–60 students a year.
Quasi-experimental Econometrics
A three-day intensive for PhD students in the Graduate School of Economic and Management Sciences.
Doctoral supervision
14 PhD students graduated since 2016, and 5 currently in progress. Selected recent completions:
| Year | Student | Thesis |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Valentine Madzudzo | Spatial labour market inequality: a comparative analysis of Cape Town, eThekwini, and Gauteng |
| 2025 | Marlies Piek | Farm dynamics, sectoral structure and agricultural minimum wages: evidence from South African administrative tax records |
| 2024 | Grace Leach | Essays on the economics of early childhood development: spatial inequalities, service provision, and parental investment |
| 2023 | Abigail Chari | Access to healthcare services in resource-constrained environments: evidence from Zimbabwe (co-supervisor) |
| 2023 | Kate Rich | Socioeconomic status, economic insecurity and the obesity transition in South Africa |
| 2022 | Martin Mwale | The impact of farm input subsidies on women and children: evidence from Malawi |
| 2022 | Mkupete Jaah | Examining child health and nutrition inequalities in Tanzania |
Current: Michael Kilumelume, Tankiso Lefeta, Steven Mwaseba, Mwimba Chewe and Camren McAravey.
Service & engagement
Leadership, review and public research
University & academy
- 2024 –Vice Dean for Research, Postgraduate Affairs and Internationalisation, Faculty of Economic and Management Sciences
- 2024 –Chair, Faculty Higher Degrees and Research Committee, and Internationalisation Working Group
- 2022 – 2025PhD Co-ordinator, Department of Economics
- 2024 –Standing Committee on Science for Reduction of Poverty and Inequality, Academy of Science of South Africa
- 2024 –Economics Panel, NRF Specialist Committee for Researcher Ratings
Policy & media
- 2018–2021World Food Programme: food security trends, monitoring and scenario planning for the southern African regional bureau
- 2019Department of Social Development & NIDS: cash transfers, financial literacy and child growth
- 2017Quoted in the New York Times on South African wealth inequality
- 2020Research on South Africa's Great Divergence cited in The Economist's Christmas Special Edition
- 2016–2022Guest essays for The Conversation, Mail & Guardian and Business Day on minimum wages and inequality
I review for the Journal of Human Resources, World Development, the Journal of Economic History, Economic Modelling, BMJ Global Health and more than a dozen other journals, and examine Masters and PhD theses at Cape Town, Witwatersrand, North-West, Fort Hare and the Western Cape.
Contact
Get in touch
Department of Economics, Stellenbosch University
Private Bag X1, Matieland, 7602, South Africa
+27 21 808 2242